Check out statistics and predictions for Corinthians x Gremio - 09/18/2023.
O Our Machine Learning model analysed more than 983205 matches to get at this prediction for Corinthians x Gremio available here for you:
🔵 Corinthians - Winning Probability: 48.33% | Fair Odds: 2.07
⚪ Draw - Probability of a draw: 35.64% | Fair Odds: 2.81
🔴 Gremio - Winning Probability: 16.03% | Fair Odds: 6.24
⚖ Handicap 1x2: -0.25 Corinthians
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corners: 9.00 corners
Now that we know the odds, these are the bets for Corinthians x Gremio that we believe have positive expected value:
🤞 Odds Market - 1x2: our bet is Corinthians
🤞 Odds Market - 1x2: our bet is Draw
🤞 Handicap 1x2: our bet is 0.0 Corinthians
👎 Goal Handicap: Umm... too bad! We have no value bets for this market.
Match stats for Corinthians x Gremio
% of points obtained
Possession Average
Goals Average
Shots Average
Shots on Goal Average
Shots to Score Average
Goals Against Average
Shots Against Average
Shots on Goal Against Average
Shots to Score Against Average
Latest news from Corinthians x Gremio
Globo Esporte
Globo Esporte
Globo Esporte
All the news were shown
Statistical Tips for Corinthians x Gremio (7)
If you had bet $100 on Corinthians in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $56.0.
If you had bet $100 on Gremio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
In the last 3 Corinthians matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Corinthians x Gremio, with Corinthians as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
In the last 7 matches as the away team, Gremio conceded at least 1 goal(s).
Corinthians has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Gremio playing at home.
It is not a good time for Gremio as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.
Classification of Corinthians x Gremio
brasileiroSerieA2023
| PTS | Matches | W | D | L | Goals | Last Games | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3  Gremio | 43 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 39:31 | |
10  Corinthians | 30 | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28:29 |
Sorting Tips for Corinthians x Gremio (5)
Corinthians has 56.40% chance of making it to Copa Sudamericana.
Corinthians has 6.50% chance of relegation.
Gremio is in the position 2 for best attack from Brasileiro Serie A 2023.
Gremio has 64.50% chance of making it to Copa Libertadores.
Gremio has 23.60% chance of making it to Copa Libertadores Qualification.
Market Statistics for Corinthians x Gremio
Didn't score
Scored at least 1 goal
Both Scored
Over 0,5 goals
Over 1,5 goals
Over 2,5 goals
Over 3,5 goals
Clean Sheet
Conceded at least 1 goal
Best times to bet on Corinthians x Gremio
Actions of Home + Actions of Away
Goals scored by Home + Goals conceded by Away
Attacks for Home + Attacks from Away
Corners for Home + Corners from Away
Goals scored by Away + Goals conceded by Home
Attacks for Away + Attacks from Home
Corners for Away + Corners from Home
Market and timing tips for Corinthians x Gremio (0)
Best odds to bet on Corinthians x Gremio
Match Odds
Tips for the best odds of Corinthians x Gremio (5)
With a variation of 2.08%, the odds for Corinthians are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.4 for Corinthians and now the odds are @2.45.
With a variation of -1.54%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.25 for Draw and now the odds are @3.2.
With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Gremio are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.0 for Gremio and now the odds are @3.0.
The market increased home team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at 0.00 is now at -0.25 for Corinthians.
The market expects less goals than when it opened: the goals handicap opened at 2.25 and now is at 2.00 goals.
Tips for Corinthians x Gremio
The Corinthians receives the Gremio on 18 of September 2023, Monday, at 21:00, to play the Brazil Serie A match.At Betfellows you will find our full forecast for Corinthians x Gremio! See some information:
What are the chances for prognosis for Corinthians and Gremio?
If you want to know if your bet has any value, it's important that you know the Betfellows calculations with the winning chances of each team.
What are the chances of Corinthians winning?
Artificial Intelligence indicates that the probability of Corinthians winning is 48.33%. If taken into account, in every thousand matches, Corinthians should win 483 of them.
What are the chances of Gremio coming out victorious?
Artificial Intelligence suggests that the probability of Gremio winning is 16.03%. If taken into account, in every thousand matches, Gremio should win 160 of them.
What are the chances of a tie?
Our artificial intelligence concludes that there is a 35.64% chance of a draw. This means that, out of 1000 matches, there should be approximately 356 draws.
How many goals will be scored?
Our Artificial Intelligence was asked about how many goals would be scored in the Corinthians x Gremio match. According to its predictions, we are expecting around 2.25 goals in the 90 minutes of the game.
How many corners can we expect in Corinthians x Gremio?
We are eager to find out what will be the amount of corner kicks for Corinthians x Gremio. We believe it will be 9.00 corners.
What is the predicted handicap for Corinthians and Gremio?
Sports bettors already know: handicap is a way to even out the chances between two teams or players. This means that an advantage is given to one of them, making the chances of their bets winning higher. For example, if a football team has great chances of winning, a handicap can be applied to give their opponent one more goal at the beginning of the match, making the bets more balanced and interesting.
Thus, for this Corinthians x Gremio game and according to Betfellows' intelligence, we believe the fair handicap is -0.25 Corinthians.
What is the expected value in our forecast for Corinthians and Gremio?
To understand the concept of expected value in our forecast for Corinthians x Gremio, let's say you calculate that an event has a 50% chance of happening. To calculate the fair odds for this event, simply divide 1 by the probability. By dividing 1/0.50, this means that the fair odds for this event would be 2.00. If upon accessing a betting house, you see it offering odds of 2.20, that means you have an expected value of 10%, since the odds offered by the betting house are 10% higher than the fair odds calculated by you.
Expected Value for Corinthians to Win
The Corinthians have odds of 2.38 at the betting houses, but our model estimated that the fair odds are 2.07. This means that we estimate an expected value of 14.73% for this bet.
Expected Value for a Tie
The odds offered for draw by betting houses are 3.20, but our model calculated that the fair odds are 2.81. This means that our prediction for the draw has a expected value of 13.88% for this game.
Expected Value for Gremio
The odds offered by the betting houses for the Gremio are 3.10, and the fair odds estimated by our model are 6.24. This implies an expected value of -50.32% for this bet.
How much can you profit from this Corinthians x Gremio forecast?
Do you want to know how much profit you can make betting on the prognosis for Corinthians x Gremio? To find out, just calculate the return value of the bet by subtracting the odds from 1. For example, let's say you bet $10 with odds of 1.50 and won the bet. Your profit would be $5, since $10 was the value of the bet and the other $5 were your winnings. To get to that number, you just need to multiply the bet amount by (1.50 -1). Now, see how much you can make on each bet for this game:
How much can you make by betting on Corinthians?
The odds for Corinthians are at 2.38. This means that if we bet $50, we will get a profit of $68.75.
How much can you win by betting on a draw?
By betting on a draw, the odds at this moment are 3.20. If we make a bet of $50, we will get a profit of $110.00.
How Much Can You Profit by Betting on Gremio
The odds for Gremio are 3.10. This means that if we bet $50, we will get a profit of $105.00.