Check out statistics and predictions for Independiente Medellin x Millonarios - 09/18/2023.
Our Artificial Intelligence analysed more than 983205 matches to help you place your bet. Cheak if our prediction for Independiente Medellin x Millonarios makes sense to you:
🔵 Independiente Medellin - Winning Probability: 50.84% | Fair Odds: 1.97
⚪ Draw - Probability of a draw: 29.40% | Fair Odds: 3.4
🔴 Millonarios - Winning Probability: 19.76% | Fair Odds: 5.06
⚖ Handicap 1x2: -0.75 Independiente Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corners: 9.75 corners
Now that we know the odds, these are the bets for Independiente Medellin x Millonarios that we believe have positive expected value:
🤞 Odds Market - 1x2: our bet is Independiente Medellin
🤞 Handicap 1x2: our bet is -0.5 Independiente Medellin
🤞 Goal Handicap: our bet is + 2.00 Goals
Match stats for Independiente Medellin x Millonarios
% of points obtained
Possession Average
Goals Average
Shots Average
Shots on Goal Average
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Latest news from Independiente Medellin x Millonarios
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Statistical Tips for Independiente Medellin x Millonarios (6)
If you had bet $100 on Independiente Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $235.0.
If you had bet $100 on Millonarios in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
Millonarios did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
In the last 7 matches as the home team, Independiente Medellin scored at least 1 goal(s).
In the last 4 Millonarios matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
Independiente Medellin is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 62.00% of possession.
Classification of Independiente Medellin x Millonarios
primeraA,Clausura2023
| PTS | Matches | W | D | L | Goals | groupMatches | Last Games | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4  Independiente Medellin | 22 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 17:12 | 78,2% | |
5  Millonarios | 19 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 47,9% |
Sorting Tips for Independiente Medellin x Millonarios (5)
Independiente Medellin is in the position 3 for best defense from Primera A, Clausura 2023.
Independiente Medellin has 78.20% chance of making it to Group Matches.
Independiente Medellin has 1.80% chance of winning 1st place.
Millonarios is in the position 4 for best defense from Primera A, Clausura 2023.
Millonarios has 47.90% chance of making it to Group Matches.
Market Statistics for Independiente Medellin x Millonarios
Didn't score
Scored at least 1 goal
Both Scored
Over 0,5 goals
Over 1,5 goals
Over 2,5 goals
Over 3,5 goals
Clean Sheet
Conceded at least 1 goal
Best times to bet on Independiente Medellin x Millonarios
Actions of Home + Actions of Away
Goals scored by Home + Goals conceded by Away
Attacks for Home + Attacks from Away
Corners for Home + Corners from Away
Goals scored by Away + Goals conceded by Home
Attacks for Away + Attacks from Home
Corners for Away + Corners from Home
Market and timing tips for Independiente Medellin x Millonarios (0)
Best odds to bet on Independiente Medellin x Millonarios
Match Odds
Tips for the best odds of Independiente Medellin x Millonarios (5)
The odds for Independiente Medellin had a slight Raised of 7.50%: the market opened with odds of @2.0 for Independiente Medellin and now the odds are @2.15.
With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.1 for Draw and now the odds are @3.1.
With a variation of -1.32%, the odds for Millonarios are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.8 for Millonarios and now the odds are @3.75.
The market decreased home team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at -0.50 is now at -0.25 for Independiente Medellin.
The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.0 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for Independiente Medellin x Millonarios
The Independiente Medellin and the Millonarios will face each other on 18 of September of 2023, Monday, at 22:50, in the Colombia Primera A.At Betfellows you will find our full forecast for Independiente Medellin x Millonarios! See some information:
What are the odds and chances in our forecast for Independiente Medellin x Millonarios?
Betfellows provides information on each team's winning odds so that bettors can make informed decisions and know if it's worth betting. Check out our calculations!
What are the chances of Independiente Medellin winning?
Our Artificial Intelligence predicts that Independiente Medellin has a 50.84% chance of winning. This means that, out of 1000 games, we expect Independiente Medellin to win approximately 508 of them.
What are the chances of Millonarios coming out with the win?
Our Artificial Intelligence predicts that Millonarios has a 19.76% chance of winning. This means that, out of 1000 games, we expect Millonarios to win approximately 197 of them.
What are the chances of a tie between Independiente Medellin and Millonarios?
Our artificial intelligence concludes that there is a 29.4% chance of a draw. This means that, out of 1000 matches, there should be approximately 293 draws.
How many goals will be scored?
We asked our Artificial Intelligence how many goals we should expect for this match between Independiente Medellin x Millonarios. According to its calculations, we should expect around 2.50 goals throughout these 90 minutes.
How many corners will be taken?
We also want to know the number of corners to be expected for Independiente Medellin x Millonarios. It is expected that there will be 9.75 corners.
What is the most adjusted handicap for Independiente Medellin and Millonarios?
Sports betting handicap is a type of bet that balances the odds between two teams or players, giving an advantage to one of them. This increases the chances of successful bets, as it makes the game more competitive. For example, if a team has high chances of winning, the handicap can be applied to give its opponent one goal more at the start of the match. This improves the competitiveness of the game and makes the bets more exciting.
Having said that, for this match between Independiente Medellin x Millonarios, we predict the correct handicap to be -0.75 Independiente Medellin.
What is the expected value in our forecast for Independiente Medellin x Millonarios?
To understand what is the expected value in our forecast for Independiente Medellin x Millonarios, imagine that you calculate that an event has a probability of 50% to happen. To calculate the fair odds of this event, it's necessary to divide 1 by the probability. By doing so, 1/0,50 means that the fair odds for this event will be 2.00. If when entering into a bookmaker, you see that it offers odds of 2.20, this means that the expected value is 10%, because the odds offered by the bookmaker are 10% higher than the fair odds calculated by you.
Expected Value for Independiente Medellin
The Independiente Medellin have odds of 2.10 at the betting houses, but our model estimated that the fair odds are 1.97. This means that we estimate an expected value of 6.6% for this bet.
Expected Value for Tie in the Game
The odds offered for the draw are 3.20 and the fair odds calculated by our model is 3.40. This means that we have an expected value of -5.88% for this bet.
Expected Value for Millonarios to win the game
The odds offered for Millonarios by the betting houses are 3.80, but our model calculated that the fair odds are 5.06. This means that our forecast has an expected value of -24.9% for this game.
How much can you win in the forecast for Independiente Medellin x Millonarios?
So you want to know how much you could profit off this forecast for Independiente Medellin x Millonarios? To calculate the profit you could have on your bets, just multiply the value of your bet by the subtraction of the odds - 1. Want an example? So imagine you bet $10 at odds of 1.50 and won that bet. The return on this bet would be $15, but your profit would be $5 and the other $10 was the return of the bet amount. See that by multiplying $10 by (1.50 - 1) you would also reach the same value of $5. Let's see how much you could profit off each bet of this match:
How much can you win by betting on Independiente Medellin?
Betting on Independiente Medellin, the odds at this moment are 2.10. If we place a $50 bet, we will get a profit of $55.00.
How much can you win by betting on a draw?
The odds at this moment for betting on a draw is 3.20. If we bet $50, we will receive a profit of $110.00.
How much can you win by betting on Millonarios
The odds for Millonarios are 3.80. This means that if we bet $50, we will get a profit of $140.00.