Check out statistics and predictions for EC Bahia x Santos - 09/18/2023.
O Our Machine Learning model analysed more than 983205 matches to get at this prediction for EC Bahia x Santos available here for you:
🔵 EC Bahia - Winning Probability: 71.96% | Fair Odds: 1.39
⚪ Draw - Probability of a draw: 21.81% | Fair Odds: 4.59
🔴 Santos - Winning Probability: 6.23% | Fair Odds: 16.05
⚖ Handicap 1x2: -1.0 EC Bahia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corners: 10.50 corners
Now that we know the odds, these are the bets for EC Bahia x Santos that we believe have positive expected value:
🤞 Odds Market - 1x2: our bet is EC Bahia
🤞 Handicap 1x2: our bet is -0.75 EC Bahia
🤞 Goal Handicap: our bet is + 2.25 Goals
Match stats for EC Bahia x Santos
% of points obtained
Possession Average
Goals Average
Shots Average
Shots on Goal Average
Shots to Score Average
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Latest news from EC Bahia x Santos
Globo Esporte
All the news were shown
Statistical Tips for EC Bahia x Santos (8)
If you had bet $100 on EC Bahia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-71.0.
If you had bet $100 on Santos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
Santos did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
In the last 3 matches as the home team, EC Bahia scored at least 1 goal(s).
In the last 3 matches as the home team against Santos, EC Bahia scored at least 1 goal(s).
In the last 6 matches as the away team, Santos conceded at least 1 goal(s).
EC Bahia has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Santos playing at home.
It is not a good time for Santos as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.
Classification of EC Bahia x Santos
brasileiroSerieA2023
| PTS | Matches | W | D | L | Goals | Last Games | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16  EC Bahia | 25 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 28:33 | |
17  Santos | 24 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 23:40 |
Sorting Tips for EC Bahia x Santos (6)
EC Bahia has 24.60% chance of making it to Copa Sudamericana.
EC Bahia has 24.20% chance of relegation.
Santos is in the position 3 for worst attack from Brasileiro Serie A 2023.
Santos is in the position 3 for worst defense from Brasileiro Serie A 2023.
Santos has 55.20% chance of relegation.
Santos has 7.10% chance of making it to Copa Sudamericana.
Market Statistics for EC Bahia x Santos
Didn't score
Scored at least 1 goal
Both Scored
Over 0,5 goals
Over 1,5 goals
Over 2,5 goals
Over 3,5 goals
Clean Sheet
Conceded at least 1 goal
Best times to bet on EC Bahia x Santos
Actions of Home + Actions of Away
Goals scored by Home + Goals conceded by Away
Attacks for Home + Attacks from Away
Corners for Home + Corners from Away
Goals scored by Away + Goals conceded by Home
Attacks for Away + Attacks from Home
Corners for Away + Corners from Home
Market and timing tips for EC Bahia x Santos (0)
Best odds to bet on EC Bahia x Santos
Match Odds
Tips for the best odds of EC Bahia x Santos (5)
The odds for EC Bahia had a slight Decreased of -9.11%: the market opened with odds of @1.833 for EC Bahia and now the odds are @1.666.
With a variation of 2.86%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.5 for Draw and now the odds are @3.6.
The odds for Santos had a huge Raised of 26.93%: the market opened with odds of @4.333 for Santos and now the odds are @5.5.
The market increased home team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at -0.50 is now at -0.75 for EC Bahia.
The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.25 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for EC Bahia x Santos
The EC Bahia receives the Santos on 18 of September 2023, Monday, at 20:00, to play the Brazil Serie A match.Get ready for what comes next: At Betfellows, you will have full access to our forecast for EC Bahia x Santos. See the data we have:
What are the odds and chances in our forecast for EC Bahia x Santos?
Betfellows provides information on each team's winning odds so that bettors can make informed decisions and know if it's worth betting. Check out our calculations!
What are the chances of victory for EC Bahia?
Our Artificial Intelligence predicts that EC Bahia has a 71.96% chance of winning. This means that, out of 1000 games, we expect EC Bahia to win approximately 719 of them.
What are the chances of Santos winning?
According to our artificial intelligence, the probability of victory for Santos is 6.23%. This means that in 1000 games, we can expect Santos to win approximately 62 of them.
What are the chances of a tie between EC Bahia and Santos?
Artificial Intelligence suggests that the probability of a draw is 21.81%. If that is taken into account, there should be 218 draws out of a thousand games.
How many goals will be scored in EC Bahia x Santos?
Our Intelligent Computers were asked about how many goals we could expect from the EC Bahia x Santos match. The results point to around 2.75 goals over 90 minutes.
How many corners will be made?
We are curious to know what the corner count will be for EC Bahia x Santos. We believe it will be 10.50 corners.
What is the predicted handicap for EC Bahia and Santos?
Sports bettors already know: handicap is a way to even out the chances between two teams or players. This means that an advantage is given to one of them, making the chances of their bets winning higher. For example, if a football team has great chances of winning, a handicap can be applied to give their opponent one more goal at the beginning of the match, making the bets more balanced and interesting.
Thus, for this EC Bahia x Santos game and according to Betfellows' intelligence, we believe the fair handicap is -1.0 EC Bahia.
What is the expected forecast value for EC Bahia and Santos?
To understand the concept of expected value in our forecast for EC Bahia x Santos, let's say you calculate that an event has a 50% chance of happening. To calculate the fair odds for this event, simply divide 1 by the probability. By dividing 1/0.50, this means that the fair odds for this event would be 2.00. If upon accessing a betting house, you see it offering odds of 2.20, that means you have an expected value of 10%, since the odds offered by the betting house are 10% higher than the fair odds calculated by you.
Expected Value for EC Bahia to Win the Game
The odds offered by betting houses for EC Bahia are 1.70, and the fair odds estimated by our model are 1.39. This implies an expected value of 22.3% for this bet.
Expected Value for Tie in the Game
The draw has odds of 3.60 in the betting houses, but our model estimated that the fair odds are 4.59. This means that we estimated a expected value of -21.57% for this bet.
Expected Value for Santos
The Santos has odds of 5.50 at the betting houses, but our model estimated that the fair odds are 16.05. This means that we estimated an expected value of -65.73% for this bet.
How much can you win in the forecast for EC Bahia x Santos?
Are you wondering how much profit you can get from betting on EC Bahia x Santos? To find that out, just calculate the return on your bet by subtracting 1 from the odds. Let's give an example: let's say you bet $10 with odds of 1.50 and won the bet - your profit would be $5, since $10 was the bet value and the other $5 were your winnings. To get to this number, just multiply the value of your bet with (1.50 - 1). Now, let's see how much you can make on each bet of this match:
How much can you make by betting on EC Bahia?
The odds available to bet on EC Bahia are 1.70. This means that a $50 bet would return you $35.00.
How much can you win by betting on a draw?
The odds at the betting houses for the draw are 3.60. If we make a bet of $50, we will have a profit of $130.00.
How Much Can You Profit by Betting on Santos
The odds at this moment to bet on Santos is 5.50. If we bet $50, we will receive a profit of $225.00.